Methodology register
Changes to public research computation only. Our private research engine is out of scope by policy — see
governance.
2026-07-03
Regime classifier inputs moved to FRED-primary (VIXCLS, broad dollar DTWEXBGS, SP500, credit spreads, yield curve) with exchange/Yahoo fallback. End-of-day official series replace intraday scraped quotes for classification; regime output verified unchanged on switch day. Every payload now carries a provenance field.
2026-07-03
Confidence-tier inversion disclosed — our HIGH-confidence signal tier was underperforming the MEDIUM tier in live resolution; an on-page warning now says so and advises against weighting by tier while calibration is under review.honesty
2026-07-02
Market Conditions Monitor replaces public trade setups — same structural inputs (funding, open interest, order flow, phase), published as conditions without entries, stops, targets or direction instructions. Analytics, not advice.
2026-07-02
Rotation and positioning layers went live on the intelligence surface — sector rotation from exchange category flows; positioning from Hyperliquid's public API (venue-scoped and labeled as such). Unported layers are listed in a roadmap disclosure instead of rendering as empty panels.
2026-06-15
Stated confidence calibrated against realized outcomes — published setup confidence began showing a calibrated figure derived from the realized win rate of its confidence band (Bayesian shrinkage), alongside the raw number.
2026-06-15
Regime archive introduced — ~2 years of weekly regime classification (trend vs volatility rules), recomputed live from history on each load rather than stored claims. Central-bank stances and token-unlock amounts moved from curated values to live official/on-chain sources.
2026-06-14
Fed & rates panel switched to live FRED after our own review caught stale hardcoded values (policy rate ~3 cuts out of date). The failure and the fix are both part of this record.honesty
2026-05-24
Regime classifier v1 on edge infrastructure — six-indicator rule-based classification (volatility, credit spreads, yield curve, dollar, equity trend) with explicit reason strings; simplified port of the earlier research prototype.
Ship log
Recent releases, most recent first — including the corrections. Velocity you can audit against the record.
2026-07-03
Google sign-in scaffold (provider-gated) · live
status page with real browser probes · FRED-provenance regime inputs · intelligence page de-scheduled (roadmap disclosure) · landing rebuilt around the product (globe removed) · signal research moved to a collapsed research register
2026-07-03
Server-side plan gating on premium data endpoints (flip-ready) · Market Intelligence Brief — print-ready, sourced, timestamped IC report · sidebar line icons · skeleton loading · page-title cleanup across 11 languages
2026-07-03
Daily Delta strip (what changed since your last visit) · ⌘K command palette · workflow navigation regroup · CSV export on conditions and the full track record · per-user plan enforcement behind the beta flag — including a fix where a paying customer could have read as free foreverfix
2026-07-02
Live Stripe payment links + webhook plan sync · trust page (company, security, data provenance, honest SLA) · Copy Desk made internal-only — the private engine's mirror is not a customer product · Early Access reframe
2026-06-28
Honesty pass on our own marketing: removed a fabricated social-proof toast and placeholder testimonials, corrected a false privacy claim in the FAQ (11 languages), fixed trial-length copyhonesty
2026-06-27
Public engine status page — plain-language safety readout with full trade history, wins and losses, dated so old losses can't be misread as today's
2026-06-16
Security audit: closed an account-data exposure on an internal endpoint, removed a founder URL backdoor, added per-IP rate limiting across all public data servicessecurity
Older history is preserved in the repository and summarized on the
Methodology page. This log is curated for readability; the underlying record is append-only.